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May 14, 2006

Iran in the Sudan

One challenge to the rationale for deposing Saddam is: "So why Saddam and not [insert your favorite Mass-Murdering Megalomaniac Dictator here]?" On one level, this is an example of "the best is the enemy of the good," and the appropriate response is either "Well, ya gotta start somewhere" or "All in good time." But we only have to choose between the best and the good because we have finite resources.

So how do we allocate these resources? The rationale for deposing Saddam makes the reasonable assumption that Mass-Murdering Megalomaniac Dictators who are demonstrable threats to the rest of the world, or at least the US, have priority over those who aren't, leading to the uncomfortable conclusion that you are only going to be rescued from your MMMD if he is aggressively pursuing territory or WMDs or both. If not, you're just going to have to suffer, because the Only Superpower has a lot on Her plate.

All of which is a setup for this DEBKA scoop [insert DEBKA grain-of-salt warning here], via Asher:

DEBKAfile’s intelligence sources reveal that two Iranian Revolutionary Guards companies were dropped at Khartoum’s military airfield May 2 by a C-130 transport and driven to a secret military installation on the outskirts of the Sudanese capital. Their arrival signals the onset of an Iranian military airlift to Sudan of a fully equipped RG brigade with armor, a major escalation of the clandestine Iranian threat to Egypt and Israel alike.

DEBKAfile’s security sources report the ongoing routine of illicit Sudanese infiltrations into the southern Israeli Negev, shepherded by any of three local smuggling rings: the Palestinian gang headed by Jamal Samhadan, the Hamas government’s new appointee as commander of its security forces, Sudanese-Egyptian crime organizations and al Qaeda’s Sinai network. All three are readily available to operate under the orders of the Iranian RG intelligence officers posted in Sudan.

The scale of the Negev traffic is such that hardly a day goes by without Sudanese infiltrators being caught attempting to steal across the Egyptian border into southern Israel. Many are job-seekers; a few, mules for gunrunners or spies collecting data on army installations in the desert region; some were caught recently near the town of Mitzpeh Ramon. They are led to their destinations by Egyptian intelligence agents familiar with the territory, Palestinian terrorists from Gaza or a sprinkling of Israeli Arabs.

An Israeli security source told DEBKAfile that the current Egyptian-Israeli-Gazan border situation offers Iranian agents and terrorists mixed in among the Sudanese infiltrators an easy route into southern Israel. The RG agents are Arabic speakers, having acquired the language from their stint as military instructors with the Lebanese Hizballah.'(Debka)

Those Iranians get around, don't they? If they keep this up, maybe we will send troops to Sudan. And maybe even get more decisive about Ahmadinejead (a rescue which Iranians both desire and reject).

Judith | 05/14/06 at 02:08 PM | Categories: - Iran

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