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June 28, 2006
What Happens Next in Gaza?
Even with top Hamas lawmakers now in Israeli hands, it is impossible to predict whether the Palestinians will become pragmatic and agree to release Gilad Shalit, or whether this will incite them further and make them dig in their heels.
Herb Keinon has similar thoughts in the Jerusalem Post:
It is not at all clear whether Israeli military action in Gaza hurts Hamas politically. In what to Israeli eyes seems like the logic-defying reality that is Gaza, it is not at all clear whether blowing up bridges and knocking out electricity in Gaza weakens public support for Hamas, or - paradoxically - whether it might in fact strengthen it.Keinon's point about the victimization narrative is precisely on the money. The Palestinians have so mythologized and taken to heart their victim narrrative, that it often seems this is the only mold they know. They make their reality conform with it. What they'll forget is how they provoked this situation, and how the population in general supported holding onto Shalit, even with IDF troops massing on the border.Furthermore, it is not even clear that Hamas doesn't want some IDF action to further its victimization narrative in the world. Already some in the world are asking whether the capture of one Israeli soldier merits the type of military action we saw Wednesday. Besides, some are whispering, what about the 10,000 Palestinians prisoners held by Israel?
Alcibiades | 06/28/06 at 11:05 PM | Categories: - Gaza and Palestine
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Comments
I hope that Gilad Shalit is released, but I do not expect a good resolution of this situation. Hamas are fanatics.
Alcibiades:
Ami Isseroff, blogging on Zionation, does a good job on who the real Gaza victims are, and, in short, they live in Sderot.
This is not just about a single Israeli soldier kidnapped (and presumably executed), nor about an Israeli teenager on the West Bank being kidnapped and executed. It's about months of Qassam rockets and other missiles pelting down on targets INSIDE Israel's 1948 borders (3 to 4 a day, lately), not all of which have been "fired in vein". Sderot's schools have been a frequent target, but we heAr little in the MSM about the half dozen Israelis, a Bedouin shephard and his son and three workers who all died in these attacks, but then the MSM's favourite local news sources don't cover stories like that.
Lynne | June 29, 2006 11:59 AM
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